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BCS Bowl Preview

By: Matt Brown

1/1/06

Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State (9-2) vs. Notre Dame (9-2)

Monday, January 2, 4:30 p.m. ET, Tempe, AZ

When the Buckeyes have the ball:
QB Troy Smith is one of the top dual-threat quarterbacks in the country and gives defenses a lot of problems with his legs. However, he is also an inconsistent passer who will make mistakes. Notre Dame’s defense has been inconsistent this year but always seems to be better when opposing offenses are threatening to score. If Smith is on his game, the Irish will have a tough time stopping a balanced OSU attack that also consists of underrated tailback Antonio Pittman. Look for the talented Ohio State offensive line to wear down an undersized Notre Dame defensive line and open up holes for Pittman and Smith to run through. Aside from FS Tom Zbikowski, Notre Dame lacks star power on defense and will have trouble containing Smith, Pittman, Ted Ginn, Santonio Holmes, and Anthony Gonzalez. However, the Irish have been able to force a lot of turnovers this season, and that could once again be a major factor if they are successful in doing so.

When the Fighting Irish have the ball: New coach Charlie Weiss has transformed the Irish offense into a passing machine. Junior QB Brady Quinn has become one of the top passers in the country, and he has a plethora of weapons with breakout star Jeff Samardzija, Maurice Stovall, Matt Shelton, and TE Anthony Fasano. Also contributing to the passing game is versatile RB Darius Walker, who caught 36 passes in 2005. Walker is talented runner as well and must be ready to help provide some balance against a tough Ohio State defense. This is clearly the toughest defense the Irish have faced all year, as it is loaded with stars like LB’s A.J. Hawk, Anthony Schlegel, and Bobby Carpenter, CB Ashton Youboty, SS Donte Whitner, and DE Mike Kudla. Notre Dame’s offense scored an average of 38.18 points per game this season, but the OSU defense gave up just 14.8 points per game.

Prediction: Ohio State 38, Notre Dame 27
The game will be a relative shootout in the first half, but Ohio State will control the clock in the second half behind a big game from RB Antonio Pittman and the offensive line.


Sugar Bowl: Georgia (10-2) vs. West Virginia (10-1)

Monday, January 2, 8:30 p.m. ET, Atlanta, GA

When the Bulldogs have the ball:
QB D.J. Shockley is not the most polished passer out there, but he is a playmaker who can run well and can throw a pretty nice deep ball. The loss of talented WR Sean Bailey to a knee injury will hurt, but Shockley still has three talented targets in WR’s Mohamed Massaquoi and Bryan McClendon and athletic, 6-7 TE Leonard Pope. The Bulldogs operate a balanced attack with a deep stable of running backs. Thomas Brown has emerged as the leader of the group, but Kregg Lumpkin and Danny Ware both possess a lot of talent as well. The Mountaineers have not faced many great rush offenses this season, but they have still been very solid against the run and overall and they could give Georgia problems early with their unique 3-3-5 base. If Thomas Brown can get going early though, the West Virginia defense could get into trouble and the deep passing game will open up for Shockley.

When the Mountaineers have the ball: West Virginia has an offense loaded with potential and led by two star freshmen in QB Pat White and RB Steve Slaton. Georgia’s rush defense is solid, but it will take a very strong effort to slow down the Mountaineers’ rushing attack. They rank fifth nationally in rush offense but 116th in passing. If Georgia can contain Slaton and the mobile White, it will have a great chance at winning the game. A West Virginia offense that cannot move the ball on the ground would have a hard time scoring points because of its dismal passing game. White has had an excellent freshman season as a running quarterback, but this will be by far the biggest test that he has faced all year.

Prediction: Georgia 31, West Virginia 14
Georgia will contain Pat White and the West Virginia rushing attack enough to force them to pass, allowing the Bulldogs to win with relative ease.


Orange Bowl: Penn State (10-1) vs. Florida State (8-4)

Tuesday, January 3, 8:00 p.m. ET, Miami, FL

When the Nittany Lions have the ball:
QB Michael Robinson is arguably the most valuable player to any team in the country. The athletic senior had stints at tailback, wide receiver, and quarterback before taking over the reigns behind center full-time in 2005. Although his passing numbers were not spectacular, he made fewer mistakes as the season went on and was consistently a dangerous runner. With Robinson at quarterback and the underrated Tony Hunt at tailback, Penn State has a very talented rushing offense that ranks 12th nationally. True freshman WR Derrick Williams was the biggest threat at receiver, but his playing status remains in question for the game after breaking his arm on October 15 against Michigan. Even without Williams, Deon Butler, Justin King, Jordan Norwood, and Terrell Golden give the Lions plenty of speedy targets for Robinson. Florida State has been terrific defensively in 2005, despite the absence of CB Antonio Cromartie for the entire season because of injury. DT Brodrick Bunkley had a phenomenal season as a pass rusher, and the linebacking corps is deep and talented, led by junior Ernie Sims. The only major concern is the loss of leading tackler A.J. Nicholson, who was sent home by Bobby Bowden after legal trouble.

When the Seminoles have the ball: The main reasons for Florida State’s 8-4 record this year? Inexperience and injuries on offense. The offensive line is still very beat up and has struggled all year long. However, it surprisingly came together and put forth a solid effort in the ACC Championship against Darryl Tapp and Virginia Tech. A lot of pressure will be on the line once again to protect freshman QB Drew Weatherford, who has been good at times but still makes way too many mistakes. The FSU offensive line will have its hands full with All-American DE Tamba Hali, who has become a monster of a pass rusher, as well as DT Jay Alford, who has continued to improve but flown a bit under the radar. The line will also need to step up in the running game, as talented backs Leon Washington and Lorenzo Booker have not been major factors in games, largely due to poor blocking up front. The biggest asset for the Noles on offense is speed at receiver with players like Greg Carr, Willie Reid, Chris Davis, De’Cody Fagg, and Fred Rouse. They are also inexperienced though, and the Florida State offense may have a very difficult time moving the ball against an aggressive, experienced Penn State defense led by Hali, Butkus Award winner Paul Posluszny at linebacker, and CB Alan Zemaitis.

Prediction: Penn State 27, Florida State 14
Penn State’s defense will prove to be too much to handle for Drew Weatherford and the inexperienced Florida State offense. Tamba Hali could have a monster day rushing the passer, and the Lions will capitalize off of costly Seminoles’ turnovers and mistakes.


Rose Bowl (BCS Nat’l Title Game): #1 USC (11-0) vs. #2 Texas (12-0)

Wednesday, January 4, 8:00 p.m. ET, Pasadena, CA

When the Trojans have the ball:
Southern Cal has clearly shown that it has one of the best offenses of all time. The collection of talent Pete Carroll has assembled is incredible, with 2004 Heisman winner Matt Leinart at quarterback, 2005 Heisman winner Reggie Bush and LenDale White at running back, Dominique Byrd at tight end, and Dwayne Jarrett and Steve Smith at receiver, not to mention a very strong line across the board. Leinart is as poised and polished as they come, making very few mistakes and usually being dead-on with his throws. It helps to have such sure handed receivers, particularly sophomore Dwayne Jarrett, who caught 81 passes for 1153 yards and 15 touchdowns. Reggie Bush is simply the most electrifying and explosive player in college football and is nearly impossible to contain wherever he lines up, whether it be in the backfield, at receiver, or as a return man. Somehow overshadowed in all of this is bruising RB LenDale White, who added on 1178 yards and 21 touchdowns on the ground. One of the most intriguing parts of this matchup, however, is that the Texas defense is clearly the best group the USC offense has faced all season long. The Longhorns are very sound against the run with DT’s Rod Wright, Larry Dibbles, and Frank Okam, and MLB Aaron Harris. They are stronger against the pass though, and the Texas secondary is arguably the best in the country with Cedric Griffin, Michael Griffin, Tarell Brown, and Thorpe Award winning SS Michael Huff. This is perhaps the best matchup of talent between an offense and a defense all season long.

When the Longhorns have the ball: Athletic QB Vince Young came into his own in 2005, leading a Texas offense that ranks third in the nation. We all knew Young could run, and he proved it by rushing for 850 yards and nine touchdowns. What many did not expect was his rapid development as a passer, as he very surprisingly led the nation in passing efficiency and throwing 26 touchdown passes. He has the size of a pocket passer at 6-5, 230 pounds but is clearly one of the best running quarterbacks in the country. To make the Longhorns’ rushing attack even more dangerous, there are three very talented tailbacks in sophomore Ramonce Taylor and freshmen Jamaal Charles and Henry Melton. Taylor and Charles both averaged over seven yards per carry this season, while Melton is a 6-3, 270-pound monster who scored 10 touchdowns. Also helping things along is what could be the nation’s top offensive line, led by star tackles Jonathan Scott and Justin Blalock. In the passing game, none of the receivers are necessarily stars, but Billy Pittman and Limas Sweed had very good seasons, and David Thomas caught 40 passes as a tight end. ESPN has been hyping up the Rose Bowl by trying to determine if USC is the best team of all time, even before they play for the National Championship. While they might turn out to be one of the top teams of all time, let’s wait and see if the Trojans’ defense can stop the Longhorns’ offense. There is a lot of talent on the unit, but it does not have the all-around experience that the 2004 version had. DE’s Lawrence Jackson and Frostee Rucker are outstanding, but the Trojans are not all that strong in the middle and could struggle against the dominant Texas offensive line. Oscar Lua and Dallas Sartz are pair of talented linebackers, and the spotlight will be on them to help contain Young and keep him from scrambling. The defense’s biggest playmaker is in the secondary with SS Darnell Bing. He and the rest of the defensive backs must have a strong game in pass coverage to allow the rest of the defense to contain the Texas ground game.

Prediction: Texas 34, USC 31
This game is a much of a toss-up as any game all year long. The lone undefeated teams left in college football square off in what is one of the most hyped National Title games of all time. It should be a great game to watch and should be a close one, unlike last year’s dud of a title game between USC and Oklahoma. The one thing USC cannot afford to do is start off slowly in the first half like it did frequently during the regular season, as the Texas defense is one that can keep the Trojans’ offense from going crazy in the second half. With that said, I am taking the Horns in this one because of their defense’s superiority to the USC defense.
 

 

 

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