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Mock Drafts:

By: B.J. Muchmore

4/13/06

Whether you are in a private pool, filling out contests on the Internet, or simply completing your own personal mock draft, it is important to have a strategy.  In some instances, more information creates more confusion.  This time of year there is no shortage of NFL Mock Draft's.  Most football-related web sites have continuous updates for NFL organizations and fans alike.

I decided to get my feet wet and "surf the web" this weekend and make a few notes.  Although some may impact my own personal mock draft, I feel most of the information can be promptly dismissed.  Naturally, I will refrain from using names or web sites (you know, to protect the innocent).  After all, since I am relatively unknown, I'd like to avoid entering the "Draft Protection Program".

Once again, thanks for the e-mails, feedback, and comments, they are always appreciated.  However, as a note, I am from Canada, so the words are not misspelled, we just use a few more "u"'s in our words.

1.    Many people feel the best defensive player available is AJ Hawk.  Strangely enough, I have yet to see a mock draft, where he is actually the 1st defensive player off the board.  Traditionally, Linebackers are not taken highly.  I think LaVar Arrington was the last LB to go in the top 5.  However, every year is different.  If you are looking for solid prospects to go in the first round, I could make cases for Demeco Ryans, Ernie Sims, or my 2 favorite sleepers at LB (Thomas Howard and Jon Alston). 

2.    Speaking of the top defensive prospect, most people have billed Mario Williams as the top choice amongst defensive prospects.  As a pure DE, he is a force to be reckoned with; however, all things being equal, I'd prefer Kamerion Wimbley or Manny Lawson.  I am not saying that they will be taken before Edwards; although, I am making a note to evaluate these three players at this time next year.

3.    In a tiebreaker between 2 talented prospects, I always allow speed to be the final differentiation.  Case in point, Michael Huff (based purely on speed) is a much better prospect than Jimmy Williams, who spent the majority of this draft season as the top CB, only to be falling, perhaps based on character issues.

Regardless of how much research you do prior to determining the top 32 prospects, remember that there will always be a few moments of "Shock and Awe".  No one should anticipate being 100% accurate.  As a personal goal, I have been happy with 24-26 correct picks.  Here are just a few examples of some potentially crazy moments on draft weekend, based on recent mock drafts on the web:

    *    Matt Leinart falling to the Lions.
    *    Vernon Davis Not in the top 20.
    *    Chad Greenway still being touted as a top 10 pick.

Well, just a few more weeks and its all over but the grading.

 

 

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