I've heard a lot of
talk recently surrounding the fifth BCS game
that was added to the bowl lineup back in
2004. Most of that talk has been
incorrect.
The topics most commonly discussed are,
"Which current bowl game is going to become
a BCS game?" and "Is it an extra game for
the winners of the BCS games to play for the
championship?". After hearing an assortment
of fictitious responses, I decided to put to
rest some of the debate by explaining
exactly how the extra BCS game will work and
how it will affect the college football
season.
Let me begin with a breakdown of the BCS
changes that will take effect starting with
the 2006 season:
1) As stated above, there will now be a
total of five BCS games.
2) The fifth game will be played as a
championship, approximately one week after
the four current BCS match-ups. It will
not, however, match the winners of any
of the other four games. It will keep the
same characteristics as the current BCS
championship game (#1 vs. #2 in the BCS
Standings), but will be played separate from
the other bowls.
3) The other four bowl games will keep the
same conference tie-ins. The eligible teams
will include the current automatic
qualifiers (winners of the ACC, Big 10, Big
12, Big East, Pac 10, SEC) and four
at-large bids, as opposed to two at-large
bids previously.
4) The championship game will rotate between
the four sites (Fiesta, Orange, Rose and
Sugar), which allows each stadium to host
two BCS games each year. Again, the
championship match will be held roughly one
week after the site's traditional bowl
game.
What does all this mean? It means that
next year's BCS bowl match-ups will probably
look quite a bit different than what we're
used to, and that may not necessarily be a
good thing.
On the surface, it seems to eliminate
some of the annual controversy regarding
which teams are awarded the coveted at-large
BCS bids. On the other hand, recent history
has shown us that the teams that didn't
quite make it into the BCS probably didn't
deserve to.
Take a look at Cal getting steamrolled by
Texas Tech in the 2004 Holiday Bowl, Oregon
losing to an offensively-inept Oklahoma team
in the '05 Holiday Bowl or Miami getting
absolutely throttled by LSU in the '05 Peach
Bowl.
Did those teams take the day off mentally
due to feeling shafted by not getting into
the BCS? Possibly. Did they do anything to
prove that they belonged in the BCS? No
way.
What the changes will do is make the end
of the regular season even more interesting,
as if it needed any more drama. Teams on
the brink of the top ten will have just a
little more motivation, knowing that an
impressive season-ending win over (insert
rival here) might be just enough to push
them into a spot in the BCS, as well as a
hefty paycheck.
It will also help (slightly) to correct
some of the bizarre conference match-ups
we've seen in recent bowl games. With one
of the BCS games no longer losing out on its
tie-ins due to its championship obligations,
we should see less of the
Oklahoma-Washington State type match-ups
that throw historical context out the window
and create little or no national interest.
The reasons stated above, however, are
only minor side-effects in the overall
scheme of things. The real reason behind
the change, of course, is that it allows the
NCAA to sidestep a legal nightmare by giving
the little guy (i.e., non-BCS teams) a
hypothetical shot at glory.
Recent teams such as Miami (OH), Boise
State and TCU have finished with impressive
records but ended up in mid-December bowl
games due to a general lack of national
recognition. The addition of two at-large
bids to the BCS mix cooled talks of a
lawsuit from the non-BCS school presidents
by giving a small sliver of hope to those
potential one-loss Cinderella's.
Will one of those teams ever play for the
national championship? No, not with the
current set-up. If Utah couldn't do it in
2004, no one will. Non-BCS teams just don't
start high enough in the pre-season pools to
realistically make the jump to #1 or #2.
Sure, what those presidents really wanted
was just a slice of the BCS pie, but isn't
the whole purpose of the system to decide a
national champion?
Fresno State would have made things
interesting back in 2001, but even that
would have required running a ridiculous
non-conference schedule (which they did),
going undefeated in conference (which they
didn't) and having all the teams near the
top of the polls (like Nebraska) lose late
and hopefully drop behind them in the BCS
rankings. The chances of all those things
happening? Slim to none.
In other words, despite the addition of
an extra, championship match-up, we are no
closer to a badly-needed playoff system.
This was a typical BCS change that looks
good to those who simply scan the headline
and look no deeper, but makes no real change
other than to add two borderline BCS-teams
that probably weren't deserving of a bid in
the first place.