It seemed like not that long ago when there
was such thing as a capable back-up quarterback
in the NFL. Nowadays, it seems as though you
have to jump through a handful of teams in every
division before you can even find a capable
starting quarterback.
Why is this the case? Why have so many young
quarterbacks struggled after entering the
league? It's gotten to a point where it has
become a gigantic, questionable risk to draft a
QB in the first round, and developing a
quarterback in just a few years in a team's own
system has become nearly impossible.
For every Peyton Manning, there is a Joey
Harrington. For every Carson Palmer, a Patrick
Ramsey. Not to say that there isn't talent out
there. Look at Kyle Boller. Boller has nearly
limitless potential, and at times his talent has
manifested itself into spectacular performances.
But there is a reason that quarterbacks like
Boller are continually fighting for their jobs,
and it's not a lack of talent.
What is it? It's the inability to read
defenses, and/or a lack of understanding of the
team's passing game.
Every year, it seems that the mental acuity
(reading defenses, etc.) of quarterbacks
entering the NFL from the college ranks
decreases.
Last year, for example, only three
quarterbacks were drafted in the first
round; Alex Smith of Utah, Aaron Rodgers of
Cal and Jason Campbell of Auburn. Smith has
struggled all year in San Francisco, while
Rodgers and Campbell have recieved minimal
playing time behind established starters for
their respective teams.
Suffice it to say, no one is jumping on
the bandwagon for any of these players to be
participating in a Pro Bowl anytime soon,
This year, while a number of junior
quarterbacks could help improve depth, there is
likely to be only one senior quarterback drafted
in the first round; Matt Leinart (with Jay
Cutler possibly going later in the round).
What has happened to the quarterback
position? Why is it that, suddenly, young
quarterbacks seem to be completely baffled by
NFL systems?
While the complicated zone-blitzing and
man-zone schemes of NFL defenses have certainly
contributed to the difficulty level for a young
quarterback, that isn't the reason. So many
coaches have gone back-and-forth between the NFL
and college (Nick Saban, Al Groh, etc.) that
systems at Division I-A schools are nearly as
complicated as they are in the NFL.
The answer is simple; the development of the
spread offense at the college level. Over the
last decade, an influx of wide-open offenses
have bloated the passing numbers of mediocre
college quarterbacks while allowing the coach to
place his best athlete under center (actually,
in shotgun).
Look at Alex Smith, and you will understand
why I couldn't figure out Smith's high draft
grade last year. While his mobility and
excellent arm strength are definite positives,
Smith essentially never took a snap from under
center at Utah. It is no minor issue to learn
how to take a straight drop while reading the
defense, then adjust your feet and make an
accurate throw. On top of that, Smith played in
a gimmicky offense in which most of the plays
were based on the option - an offense that you
simply don't see in the NFL. And finally, his
decision to leave school early only accentuated
his lack of passing game experience. Clearly,
Smith was going to take a serious time and
coaching investment, and never should have been
taken number one with the expectation to step in
as a savior for a franchise in disarray.
You can jump from school to school, looking
at some of the more successful spread passing
attacks from the last decade, and the same trend
develops.
Florida's run-and-gun under Steve Spurrier
yielded Heisman trophies and SEC titles, but
successful NFL quarterbacks? No, with the jury
still out on Rex Grossman.
What about Texas Tech's record-setting
passing games under Mike Leach? Again, no
successful NFL quarterbacks.
Even the consensus "quarterback-guru" among
college coaches, Cal's Jeff Tedford, has been
surprisingly unsuccessful in developing QB's for
the professional level. His spread offense
helped make a name for players like Akili Smith,
Joey Harrington and Aaron Rodgers, but none have
been successful yet in the NFL.
Vince Young and Troy Smith were among the
NCAA pass efficiency leaders this fall, but
listen to any scout out there and he will
explain that these players have some big-time
adjustments to make to succeed in the passing
game at the next level.
While all this has been going on, a number of
quarterbacks have been successful in more
standard, less gimmicky, pro-style offenses.
Top overall picks Peyton Manning and Carson
Palmer are as talented as they come, but the
systems they played in (Tennessee and USC,
respectively) emphasized an NFL-style attack
that developed each player for success in the
NFL.
Likewise at Michigan, where eight consecutive
quarterbacks (among them Jim Harbaugh and Tom
Brady) have played in the NFL after learning an
offense that, while criticized by many fans,
truly prepared them for the pros.
Around the NFL, the same seems to hold true.
Peyton Manning? Jake Plummer? Matt Hasselbeck?
All of them were trained in college in a
pro-style offense, with most snaps taken from
under center and a mix of running and passing
plays that was indicative of what they would see
in the NFL.
This isn't all to say that spread offenses
are bad and that no quarterback that plays in a
spread attack can be successful in the NFL. It's
a system that has been used to bring college
programs like Utah and Texas Tech back to life,
and outstanding players like Drew Brees and
Byron Leftwich have been able to translate their
passing skills from a spread offense into the
professional game.
At the same time, though, NFL coaches and
general managers should be aware of the growing
trend that is contributing to the struggles of
NFL offenses. Don't just look for the athletes
with the good numbers. Find a quarterback with
drop-back passing game skills and experience,
and you will find a quarterback ready to succeed
as a pro.