With the combine and almost every "Pro Day"
behind us, it's time to see which draft
prospects, most of all which 1st round
prospects, have been hurt by their performances
and the performances of those around them. The
buzz from bowl season and all-star games have
cooled, so now teams are judging these guys on
measurables, attitude, and professionalism along
with game performance. Here is a list of some
of the bigger names whose draft stock has slid
of late:
1. Vince Young, QB, Texas: This does not make
much sense to me, but I expected it. Young's
stock would never be higher than it was
following the Rose Bowl. The only place it
could go was down, as draft "experts" would
start to doubt his throwing motion,
intelligence, arm strength, and his ability to
read defenses and sure enough, it has happened.
Young's first mistake was to hire Major Adams as
his agent. A criminal defense attorney who has
only negotiated one prior NFL contract (Eagles'
safety Michael Lewis), Adams has not marketed
Young nor prepared Young for the rigors of the
NFL Draft season. This was evidenced by Young's
low Wonderlic score, failure to bring a suit to
the Longhorns' White House visit, and overall
non-existence in the public eye since the Rose
Bowl. Young's stock would have maintained had
his Wonderlic been a few points higher and had
he participated in QB drills with Cutler at the
combine. His failure to do so has him sliding
from a top-3 pick to a likely 6-10 pick which
essentially means Young has already lost
multiple millions of dollars in guaranteed
money. His Pro-Day on the 22nd helped some, but
there are still doubts about his passing ability
and some scouts were disappointed in his 40-time
(4.58).
2. Chad Greenway, LB, Iowa: Greenway was
viewed as possibly the top OLB prospect in the
draft after the college football season. He was
viewed as extremely athletic, strong,
passionate, and gritty. While no one questions
his passion or grittiness now, there are some
big questions about his strength and speed.
Many expected him to run in the 4.5 region, but
at the combine, he turned in a fairly pedestrian
4.78. Combine that with only 16 reps in the
bench press, and you can see why these questions
have risen. The other agility drills did not
treat Greenway as well as many expected too, so
he continues to slide in the eyes of scouts and
draft gurus. He has not been helped by the
emergence of others like Ernie Sims, Thomas
Howard, Kamerion Wimbley, etc who have displayed
freak athleticism and have the production to
match it. Here is betting that Greenway will be
a late 1st rounder as opposed to the potential
top-15 pick many projected him to be a couple
months ago.
3. Santonio Holmes, WR, Ohio State: Widely
viewed as the top-WR prospect when he declared
for the draft in January, Holmes has been passed
by Chad Jackson in the eyes of many associated
with the draft. On a fast surface at his Pro
Day, Holmes ran a 4.38 40 which is very fast,
but still disappointed some in attendance.
Combine that with his lack of height and his
weight (179 lbs.), and you can see why scouts
have some doubts. Chad Jackson's exponential
rise over the last couple of months has also
caused Holmes' stock to fall. Jackson is
bigger, stronger, and faster than Holmes and has
put his hands on display in the College All-Star
challenge and at the combine.
4. Marcedes Lewis, TE, UCLA: Lewis had a
great senior season, but his poor showing at the
Senior Bowl and his mediocre combine plus the
freakish performance of Vernon Davis of Maryland
have created a significant gap between the two.
Once a lock first-rounder, Lewis is now a
mid-2nd round pick.
5. Jonathan Scott, OT, Texas: Scott has never
been a mauler along the offensive line, but his
recent showings at the combine, Senior Bowl, and
the UT Pro Day have put a finesse tag on him.
With only 17 reps on the bench press, Scott's
ability to get separation from defenders and
move them has been put in question. Also, his
limited athleticism have led to doubts about
even being a finesse blocker. Essentially,
Scott went from the 2nd best OT prospect in the
draft to the 4th or 5th.
6. Kai Parham, LB, Virginia: Parham was a
heralded high school recruit, part of Al Groh's
heralded 2002 one that included Ahmad Brooks.
After a solid college career, Parham made the
choice to leave UVA early, and it looks like
that might have been a poor one to make.
Supposedly a gifted athlete, Parham ran a
pedestrian 4.91 and 4.98 at his recent Pro Day,
showed limited explosiveness, and did not
perform well in the position drills. Once
jockeying for position as the top MLB prospect
in the draft, Parham will be luck to be a
4th-5th rounder now. This slide is very
reminiscent of LaMarcus McDonald, the former TCU
linebacker who ran a 4.99 at his Pro Day and
went from a late 2nd rounder to not even being
drafted.
7. Jimmy Williams, CB/S Virginia Tech:
Williams has always been thought of as a "tweener"
CB/S combo player who has the ability to be
successful at both positions. A safety when he
first arrived on campus, Williams filled the
gaping hole left by DeAngelo Hall and more than
met the task. His performance translated into
him being a top-10 pick. However, his failure
to participate at the combine while almost every
other DB prospect did combined with his poor
interviewing and mediocre Pro Day have him going
from the top DB prospect to perhaps the 4th.
Williams should have run in Indianapolis, as
many from Tye Hill to Michael Huff to Jonathan
Joseph ripped off blistering times on the RCA
dome turf. Then during interview sessions,
Williams maintained that he was a safety and not
a corner, which turned some teams off. He was
very defiant against playing corner in the NFL
as a whole, perhaps displaying doubts about his
own ability. No matter what the motive for his
standoffishness, Williams made himself less
marketable, versatile, and desirable in just a
matter of days. He will still be a first round
pick, but he lost himself the shot of getting
top-10 money and now is vying with Hill, Joseph,
and Ko Simpson as the next DBs off the board.
With a month left until the draft, this list
could still grow, but hopefully for the names
above, it will shrink. Private workouts can
change the downward spiral that many of these
players are experiencing right now. Vince Young
has already scheduled private workouts with the
Ravens, Dolphins, Texans, and Jets. This is
where the players' agents come into play, as it
is now their job to spin their clients'
performances into something positive and make
these guys more attractive to NFL teams. A move
from the #5 pick in the draft to the #15 pick is
a matter of tens of millions in guaranteed money
and the prestige that goes with it. Remember,
it's not over till it's over.