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You Can Never Tell

By: Sam Roberts

12/20/05

    These days the ability to see talent is everything. A good eye for talent will deliver you a superstar, while shrouded vision will leave your team in the gutter for years. Ryan Leaf. Two words which will forever be synonymous with disappointment, failure, and NFL bust. The same can be said for Tim Couch and Ki-Jana Carter, as surely their respective teams fans will quickly agree. In 1998, there were two top quarterbacks, two that you could make an argument as to who was the best, one of them being Ryan Leaf, and one being Peyton Manning. The Colts had the first pick, Chargers traded up for the second, there was no clear favorite for the number one spot. Then in April, the two top picks were arguably the best and the worst picks of all-time. The Colts took Manning, Chargers took Leaf. Manning has turned out to be the best quarterback in the NFL, and is on pace to be one of the best ever. Leaf on the other hand had so many issues, you would need an excel spreadsheet to keep track of them. Leaf is now out of the NFL, and probably the biggest “bust” the NFL has yet to see. That is just one of many examples of players who had great collegiate careers, and were high draft picks, who turned out to have horrible NFL careers. There is no way to tell who is going to be a bust or not anymore. The draft is now basically a crapshoot, sure you draft by needs, and sometimes best player available, but you never know when the player you draft will completely fail at the NFL level.
            But what really bothers me, is when people try and predict a collegiate player will be a bust in the NFL. There has only been one player I have truly felt that way about, which was Alex Smith. But I had reasoning, he had one good year that put him on the map, he ran a gimmicky offense at Utah, and was over-hyped by the media. Never mind my ranting there. Well the thing I am hearing now is that Reggie Bush will be a bust. And right now I will attempt to debunk the reasoning for those statements. Here we go….
“Reggie Bush can’t handle 20+ carries at the next level.” Well, let’s see here, the only reason Bush doesn’t get those 20+ is because they have another great runner back there in LenDale White. Also, if this is true, which I’m not saying it is, why can’t you give him 18 carries, split him out at wide-out for 10 plays, and have him return punts and kicks? He would be just as much of a threat and could take it to the house every single play.
“He can’t run between the tackles” The people who say this must only see Bush’s SportsCenter highlights. Reggie runs inside all the time, and when he gets tackled he falls forward, which gains an extra 3-4 yards every play. Okay, I’m done trying to change people’s minds. I don’t think it will work until Bush gets in the NFL and proves them right, or proves them wrong. There is no way to tell right now, and there is no reason for me to try and prove my point about something so unpredictable.
            Every team has a bust, in fact fewer than half of the first round selections in the draft, go on to start for their respective teams, let alone be the players they were expected to be. You can make an argument that any player coming into the league will be a bust for some reason or another. Whether he is too small, too slow, or plays in a weak conference, some nit-picky fan will always doubt a player. Well this is what I say to you, was Dave Meggett too small? Was Emmitt Smith too slow, or even Jerry Rice? Did Ben Roethlisberger playing in the MAC affect his ability? The fact is, all those great players were passed up by many teams, and two of them you could make arguments that they were, regardless of position, the greatest player of all-time.
            The Draft is the most unpredictable thing in the NFL today. You never know when a team will draft a “bust” or a great player, and I don’t think we will ever know. That is why I love the draft, that is why I love the NFL, that is why I love football.
  

 

 

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